YEARLY HIGH
6.4095 GMD
YEARLY LOW
6.0899 GMD
YEARLY AVERAGE
6.2079 GMD

2019 MOP to GMD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the MOP to GMD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 18, valuing the pair at 6.4095. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on June 5, dropping to 6.0899.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.3196 GMD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 6.1291 to the December average rate of 6.3875, the exchange rate registered a net change of 4.22% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 6.4095 was up 3.36% compared to the 2018 peak of 6.2011, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MOP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 32,048 GMD
2018 Average 29,791 GMD
Yearly Trough Low 30,450 GMD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,598.04 GMD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

6.4134
6.1027
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MOP to GMD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 6.1370, compared to 6.2787 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.1416 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 6.1370
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 6.2787

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was October, with a trading range of 0.1144 GMD (High: 6.3570 / Low: 6.2426). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0161 GMD (High: 6.1370 / Low: 6.1210).

October Spread (Volatile) ±0.1144
February Spread (Stable) ±0.0161

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 8 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 0.0035 points.

Longest Streak 8 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0035

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2019: 6.3875) against the same month in 2018 (average: 6.1385), the exchange rate shifted by +0.2491 (+4.06%).

2019 Avg (December) 6.3875
2018 Avg (December) 6.1385

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 6.1593 6.1028 6.1291
February 6.1370 6.1210 6.1286
March 6.1608 6.1244 6.1388
April 6.1570 6.1141 6.1353
May 6.1602 6.1229 6.1405
June 6.1911 6.0899 6.1498
July 6.2102 6.1525 6.1957
August 6.3059 6.1999 6.2142
September 6.3078 6.2057 6.2422
October 6.3570 6.2426 6.2828
November 6.3746 6.3102 6.3497
December 6.4095 6.3564 6.3875