YEARLY HIGH
5.4313 GMD
YEARLY LOW
4.7458 GMD
YEARLY AVERAGE
4.9957 GMD

2014 MOP to GMD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2014

During 2014, the MOP to GMD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on November 6, valuing the pair at 5.4313. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 6, dropping to 4.7458.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.6855 GMD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 4.7656 to the December average rate of 5.3945, the exchange rate registered a net change of 13.20% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2014 high of 5.4313 was up 13.57% compared to the 2013 peak of 4.7824, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MOP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 27,157 GMD
2013 Average 21,194 GMD
Yearly Trough Low 23,729 GMD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 3,427.61 GMD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2014.

5.4652
4.7020
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MOP to GMD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 4.8533, compared to 5.1381 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.2848 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 4.8533
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 5.1381

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2014 was October, with a trading range of 0.4707 GMD (High: 5.4051 / Low: 4.9344). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0294 GMD (High: 4.9923 / Low: 4.9629).

October Spread (Volatile) ±0.4707
August Spread (Stable) ±0.0294

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between March and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 0.0120 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0120

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (November 2014: 5.4016) against the same month in 2013 (average: 4.3277), the exchange rate shifted by +1.0739 (+24.82%).

2014 Avg (November) 5.4016
2013 Avg (November) 4.3277

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 4.7796 4.7458 4.7656
February 4.8104 4.7537 4.7754
March 4.7950 4.7586 4.7709
April 4.9676 4.7673 4.8675
May 4.9919 4.9516 4.9676
June 5.0039 4.9535 4.9725
July 4.9883 4.9247 4.9634
August 4.9923 4.9629 4.9751
September 5.0059 4.9364 4.9631
October 5.4051 4.9344 5.1307
November 5.4313 5.3851 5.4016
December 5.4291 5.3658 5.3945