YEARLY HIGH
6.2011 GMD
YEARLY LOW
5.8207 GMD
YEARLY AVERAGE
5.9576 GMD

2018 MOP to GMD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the MOP to GMD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on November 18, valuing the pair at 6.2011. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on May 1, dropping to 5.8207.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.3804 GMD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 5.9609 to the December average rate of 6.1385, the exchange rate registered a net change of 2.98% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 6.2011 was up 4.50% compared to the 2017 peak of 5.9338, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MOP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 31,006 GMD
2017 Average 28,549 GMD
Yearly Trough Low 29,104 GMD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,901.79 GMD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

6.1788
5.8027
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MOP to GMD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 5.8681, compared to 6.0471 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.1790 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 5.8681
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 6.0471

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was September, with a trading range of 0.1816 GMD (High: 6.1157 / Low: 5.9341). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0228 GMD (High: 5.8435 / Low: 5.8207).

September Spread (Volatile) ±0.1816
May Spread (Stable) ±0.0228

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and November, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 6 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.0862 points.

Longest Streak 6 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0862

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (November 2018: 6.1474) against the same month in 2017 (average: 5.8974), the exchange rate shifted by +0.2501 (+4.24%).

2018 Avg (November) 6.1474
2017 Avg (November) 5.8974

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 6.0463 5.8800 5.9609
February 5.9507 5.8457 5.8747
March 5.8952 5.8408 5.8590
April 5.8752 5.8253 5.8421
May 5.8435 5.8207 5.8340
June 5.8507 5.8218 5.8380
July 5.9501 5.8278 5.9018
August 5.9636 5.9364 5.9521
September 6.1157 5.9341 6.0120
October 6.1602 6.1069 6.1308
November 6.2011 6.1276 6.1474
December 6.1614 6.1135 6.1385