2013 MOP to SCR Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1.6471 SCR

YEARLY LOW

1.4496 SCR

YEARLY AVERAGE

1.5128 SCR

2013 MOP to SCR Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2013

During 2013, the MOP to SCR exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 1, valuing the pair at 1.6471. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on March 25, dropping to 1.4496.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1974 SCR. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.6314 to the December average rate of 1.5099, the exchange rate registered a net change of -7.45% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2013 high of 1.6471 was down 12.29% compared to the 2012 peak of 1.8778, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MOP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 8,235 SCR

2012 Average 8,592 SCR

Yearly Trough Low 7,248 SCR

Transaction Impact: A difference of 987.16 SCR purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2013.

1.6480

1.4494

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MOP to SCR Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.5190, compared to 1.5067 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0123 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.5190

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.5067

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2013 was March, with a trading range of 0.0986 SCR (High: 1.5482 / Low: 1.4496). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0127 SCR (High: 1.5096 / Low: 1.4969).

March Spread (Volatile) ±0.0986

August Spread (Stable) ±0.0127

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and November, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 7 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 0.0970 points.

Longest Streak 7 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0970

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2013: 1.6314) against the same month in 2012 (average: 1.7362), the exchange rate shifted by -0.1048 (-6.04%).

2013 Avg (January) 1.6314

2012 Avg (January) 1.7362

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	1.6471	1.6012	1.6314
February	1.6005	1.5366	1.5787
March	1.5482	1.4496	1.4817
April	1.4753	1.4570	1.4659
May	1.4841	1.4620	1.4729
June	1.4915	1.4764	1.4832
July	1.5141	1.4815	1.5000
August	1.5096	1.4969	1.5027
September	1.5187	1.4955	1.5074
October	1.5232	1.5028	1.5098
November	1.5297	1.5006	1.5101
December	1.5187	1.5045	1.5099