YEARLY HIGH
2.6603 SCR
YEARLY LOW
1.5724 SCR
YEARLY AVERAGE
2.1479 SCR

2020 MOP to SCR Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2020

During 2020, the MOP to SCR exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 4, valuing the pair at 2.6603. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on March 16, dropping to 1.5724.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.0879 SCR. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.7064 to the December average rate of 2.6543, the exchange rate registered a net change of 55.55% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2020 high of 2.6603 was up 52.49% compared to the 2019 peak of 1.7445, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MOP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 13,301 SCR
2019 Average 8,475 SCR
Yearly Trough Low 7,862 SCR
Transaction Impact: A difference of 5,439.27 SCR purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2020.

2.7491
1.6116
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MOP to SCR Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.9259, compared to 2.3700 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.4442 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.9259
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 2.3700

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2020 was April, with a trading range of 0.4800 SCR (High: 2.1958 / Low: 1.7158). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0135 SCR (High: 2.2537 / Low: 2.2401).

April Spread (Volatile) ±0.4800
September Spread (Stable) ±0.0135

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 11 straight months. No significant month-over-month rate declines were detected.

Longest Streak 11 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0000

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2020: 2.6543) against the same month in 2019 (average: 1.7047), the exchange rate shifted by +0.9496 (+55.70%).

2020 Avg (December) 2.6543
2019 Avg (December) 1.7047

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 1.7171 1.6015 1.7064
February 1.7182 1.6553 1.7064
March 1.7854 1.5724 1.7095
April 2.1958 1.7158 2.0517
May 2.2660 2.0152 2.1797
June 2.2265 2.1053 2.2014
July 2.2442 2.2033 2.2118
August 2.3182 2.2270 2.2375
September 2.2537 2.2401 2.2488
October 2.4204 2.2517 2.3166
November 2.6067 2.4200 2.5511
December 2.6603 2.6056 2.6543