YEARLY HIGH
1.8940 SCR
YEARLY LOW
1.6279 SCR
YEARLY AVERAGE
1.7187 SCR

2026 MOP to SCR Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2026

During 2026, the MOP to SCR exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on March 14, valuing the pair at 1.8940. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on June 3, dropping to 1.6279.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.2662 SCR. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.7527 to the December average rate of 1.6771, the exchange rate registered a net change of -4.31% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2026 high of 1.8940 was down 0.39% compared to the 2025 peak of 1.9015, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MOP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 9,470 SCR
2025 Average 8,910 SCR
Yearly Trough Low 8,139 SCR
Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,330.96 SCR purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2026.

1.7802
1.6677
JanuMarcMayJuly

MOP to SCR Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.7307, compared to 1.6827 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0481 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.7307
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.6827

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2026 was February, with a trading range of 0.2413 SCR (High: 1.8733 / Low: 1.6320). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0000 SCR (High: 1.6771 / Low: 1.6771).

February Spread (Volatile) ±0.2413
August Spread (Stable) ±0.0000

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 0.0790 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0790

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (March 2026: 1.7576) against the same month in 2025 (average: 1.7932), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0357 (-1.99%).

2026 Avg (March) 1.7576
2025 Avg (March) 1.7932

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 1.8767 1.6613 1.7527
February 1.8733 1.6320 1.7175
March 1.8940 1.6591 1.7576
April 1.8852 1.6932 1.7708
May 1.7027 1.6808 1.6918
June 1.7417 1.6279 1.6939
July 1.8015 1.6502 1.6883
August 1.6771 1.6771 1.6771