2015 MOP to SCR Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1.7771 SCR

YEARLY LOW

1.5289 SCR

YEARLY AVERAGE

1.6674 SCR

2015 MOP to SCR Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2015

During 2015, the MOP to SCR exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 11, valuing the pair at 1.7771. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 4, dropping to 1.5289.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.2482 SCR. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.7414 to the December average rate of 1.6038, the exchange rate registered a net change of -7.90% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2015 high of 1.7771 was down 0.61% compared to the 2014 peak of 1.7880, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MOP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 8,886 SCR

2014 Average 7,964 SCR

Yearly Trough Low 7,645 SCR

Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,240.79 SCR purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2015.

1.7699

1.5887

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MOP to SCR Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.7085, compared to 1.6263 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0821 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.7085

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.6263

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2015 was December, with a trading range of 0.1448 SCR (High: 1.6738 / Low: 1.5289). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0457 SCR (High: 1.7225 / Low: 1.6768).

December Spread (Volatile) ±0.1448

April Spread (Stable) ±0.0457

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2015. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 0.0416 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0416

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2015: 1.7414) against the same month in 2014 (average: 1.5103), the exchange rate shifted by +0.2311 (+15.30%).

2015 Avg (January) 1.7414

2014 Avg (January) 1.5103

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	1.7771	1.6458	1.7414
February	1.7752	1.7148	1.7548
March	1.7573	1.6747	1.7132
April	1.7225	1.6768	1.7032
May	1.7083	1.6394	1.6796
June	1.6778	1.6204	1.6588
July	1.6856	1.6108	1.6437
August	1.6727	1.6019	1.6395
September	1.6891	1.5950	1.6337
October	1.6901	1.5913	1.6308
November	1.6672	1.5630	1.6067
December	1.6738	1.5289	1.6038