2018 MOP to SCR Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1.7813 SCR

YEARLY LOW

1.6468 SCR

YEARLY AVERAGE

1.6870 SCR

2018 MOP to SCR Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the MOP to SCR exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on September 27, valuing the pair at 1.7813. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 5, dropping to 1.6468.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1346 SCR. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.7278 to the December average rate of 1.6969, the exchange rate registered a net change of -1.79% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 1.7813 was up 1.11% compared to the 2017 peak of 1.7618, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MOP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 8,907 SCR

2017 Average 8,463 SCR

Yearly Trough Low 8,234 SCR

Transaction Impact: A difference of 672.86 SCR purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

1.7339

1.6608

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MOP to SCR Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.6857, compared to 1.6884 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0026 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.6857

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.6884

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was September, with a trading range of 0.1004 SCR (High: 1.7813 / Low: 1.6810). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0080 SCR (High: 1.6872 / Low: 1.6791).

September Spread (Volatile) ±0.1004

August Spread (Stable) ±0.0080

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 8 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.0382 points.

Longest Streak 8 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0382

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (September 2018: 1.6908) against the same month in 2017 (average: 1.6918), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0010 (-0.06%).

2018 Avg (September) 1.6908

2017 Avg (September) 1.6918

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	1.7582	1.6986	1.7278
February	1.7387	1.6468	1.6896
March	1.7474	1.6640	1.6897
April	1.7014	1.6627	1.6669
May	1.7367	1.6597	1.6688
June	1.6772	1.6611	1.6713
July	1.6808	1.6704	1.6760
August	1.6872	1.6791	1.6816
September	1.7813	1.6810	1.6908
October	1.7206	1.6840	1.6910
November	1.7080	1.6898	1.6937
December	1.7289	1.6850	1.6969