YEARLY HIGH
1.8685 SCR
YEARLY LOW
1.5728 SCR
YEARLY AVERAGE
1.6816 SCR

2022 MOP to SCR Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2022

During 2022, the MOP to SCR exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 10, valuing the pair at 1.8685. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on September 5, dropping to 1.5728.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.2956 SCR. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.7165 to the December average rate of 1.6664, the exchange rate registered a net change of -2.92% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2022 high of 1.8685 was down 31.09% compared to the 2021 peak of 2.7113, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MOP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 9,342 SCR
2021 Average 10,082 SCR
Yearly Trough Low 7,864 SCR
Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,478.25 SCR purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2022.

1.8047
1.6128
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MOP to SCR Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.7094, compared to 1.6538 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0556 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.7094
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.6538

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2022 was January, with a trading range of 0.2465 SCR (High: 1.8685 / Low: 1.6219). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0141 SCR (High: 1.7952 / Low: 1.7811).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.2465
March Spread (Stable) ±0.0141

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between July and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 0.1301 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1301

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2022: 1.7165) against the same month in 2021 (average: 2.6573), the exchange rate shifted by -0.9408 (-35.41%).

2022 Avg (January) 1.7165
2021 Avg (January) 2.6573

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 1.8685 1.6219 1.7165
February 1.8051 1.6160 1.7057
March 1.7952 1.7811 1.7887
April 1.7947 1.6095 1.7589
May 1.7550 1.5769 1.6288
June 1.7731 1.5843 1.6578
July 1.7647 1.5832 1.6407
August 1.7122 1.5821 1.6407
September 1.7735 1.5728 1.6604
October 1.7123 1.6083 1.6519
November 1.7171 1.5832 1.6625
December 1.7651 1.6110 1.6664