YEARLY HIGH
506.8958 CDF
YEARLY LOW
474.1290 CDF
YEARLY AVERAGE
492.8688 CDF

2018 PEN to CDF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the PEN to CDF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on July 26, valuing the pair at 506.8958. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 2, dropping to 474.1290.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 32.7668 CDF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 497.9083 to the December average rate of 483.1832, the exchange rate registered a net change of -2.96% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 506.8958 was down 0.54% compared to the 2017 peak of 509.6363, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 PEN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 2,534,479 CDF
2017 Average 2,237,657 CDF
Yearly Trough Low 2,370,645 CDF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 163,833.91 CDF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

501.8190
479.2303
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

PEN to CDF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 496.3858, compared to 489.3518 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 7.0340 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 496.3858
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 489.3518

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was July, with a trading range of 28.1984 CDF (High: 506.8958 / Low: 478.6974). On the other end, June was the most stable month, with a tight range of 3.8399 CDF (High: 495.5908 / Low: 491.7509).

July Spread (Volatile) ±28.1984
June Spread (Stable) ±3.8399

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 7.4846 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -7.4846

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (July 2018: 494.6494) against the same month in 2017 (average: 478.8362), the exchange rate shifted by +15.8132 (+3.30%).

2018 Avg (July) 494.6494
2017 Avg (July) 478.8362

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 503.5024 482.7430 497.9083
February 500.8118 487.8795 495.7802
March 501.2780 493.3217 497.5702
April 502.1746 496.1547 499.9366
May 496.6229 490.4087 493.3862
June 495.5908 491.7509 493.7334
July 506.8958 478.6974 494.6494
August 499.0241 485.9965 494.3924
September 499.0006 489.4247 494.1760
October 494.4392 481.8281 488.5973
November 487.6024 475.8371 481.1127
December 488.9635 474.1290 483.1832