2011 QAR to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

792.6083 UGX

YEARLY LOW

628.1589 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

693.2708 UGX

2011 QAR to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2011

During 2011, the QAR to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on October 12, valuing the pair at 792.6083. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 30, dropping to 628.1589.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 164.4494 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 639.9010 to the December average rate of 673.2419, the exchange rate registered a net change of 5.21% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2011 high of 792.6083 was up 23.69% compared to the 2010 peak of 640.7960, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 QAR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 3,963,042 UGX

2010 Average 2,994,300 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 3,140,794 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 822,247.19 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2011.

786.8947

626.5379

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

QAR to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 654.2794, compared to 732.2623 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 77.9828 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 654.2794

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 732.2623

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2011 was October, with a trading range of 83.1956 UGX (High: 792.6083 / Low: 709.4128). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 5.6386 UGX (High: 659.3393 / Low: 653.7007).

October Spread (Volatile) ±83.1956

May Spread (Stable) ±5.6386

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 60.8223 points.

Longest Streak 5 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -60.8223

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (October 2011: 769.6495) against the same month in 2010 (average: 622.5806), the exchange rate shifted by +147.0689 (+23.62%).

2011 Avg (October) 769.6495

2010 Avg (October) 622.5806

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	657.2778	628.1589	639.9010
February	654.9458	633.9292	644.9070
March	666.8946	650.6879	658.7889
April	655.5465	640.1422	651.7087
May	659.3393	653.7007	656.5421
June	735.2809	655.9930	673.8291
July	718.1330	697.8558	711.2940
August	776.8463	717.8611	757.0292
September	790.2578	763.6755	773.5317
October	792.6083	709.4128	769.6495
November	723.8997	687.8256	708.8272
December	700.4376	648.7987	673.2419