YEARLY HIGH
1073.6696 UGX
YEARLY LOW
996.1791 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
1023.3536 UGX

2018 QAR to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the QAR to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on June 21, valuing the pair at 1073.6696. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 3, dropping to 996.1791.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 77.4906 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 999.8978 to the December average rate of 1018.5050, the exchange rate registered a net change of 1.86% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 1073.6696 was up 6.70% compared to the 2017 peak of 1006.2956, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 QAR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 5,368,348 UGX
2017 Average 4,918,233 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 4,980,895 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 387,452.80 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

1059.5865
994.0960
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

QAR to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1016.0592, compared to 1030.6479 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 14.5887 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1016.0592
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1030.6479

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was July, with a trading range of 59.5654 UGX (High: 1071.3502 / Low: 1011.7848). On the other end, January was the most stable month, with a tight range of 8.7610 UGX (High: 1005.2046 / Low: 996.4437).

July Spread (Volatile) ±59.5654
January Spread (Stable) ±8.7610

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 22.4481 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -22.4481

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (June 2018: 1054.1290) against the same month in 2017 (average: 976.4493), the exchange rate shifted by +77.6797 (+7.96%).

2018 Avg (June) 1054.1290
2017 Avg (June) 976.4493

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 1005.2046 996.4437 999.8978
February 1005.9045 996.1791 999.5535
March 1013.5711 999.7905 1003.8448
April 1020.5990 1010.0662 1015.2224
May 1036.7838 1018.8043 1023.7079
June 1073.6696 1036.0247 1054.1290
July 1071.3502 1011.7848 1031.6809
August 1035.3153 1012.1412 1024.8102
September 1051.1959 1033.6941 1044.2018
October 1050.4131 1031.9135 1037.9601
November 1032.0198 1019.8388 1026.7294
December 1027.1276 997.4229 1018.5050