2015 QAR to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1014.0096 UGX

YEARLY LOW

762.7119 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

888.8514 UGX

2015 QAR to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2015

During 2015, the QAR to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on October 2, valuing the pair at 1014.0096. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 3, dropping to 762.7119.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 251.2977 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 783.1662 to the December average rate of 923.0324, the exchange rate registered a net change of 17.86% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2015 high of 1014.0096 was up 32.70% compared to the 2014 peak of 764.1484, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 QAR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 5,070,048 UGX

2014 Average 3,567,809 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 3,813,559 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,256,488.43 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2015.

1028.6046

760.8536

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

QAR to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 817.2466, compared to 960.4563 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 143.2097 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 817.2466

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 960.4563

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2015 was July, with a trading range of 73.6779 UGX (High: 969.8780 / Low: 896.2001). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 8.2550 UGX (High: 825.3898 / Low: 817.1348).

July Spread (Volatile) ±73.6779

April Spread (Stable) ±8.2550

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 8 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 59.6750 points.

Longest Streak 8 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -59.6750

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (October 2015: 1000.1211) against the same month in 2014 (average: 734.7138), the exchange rate shifted by +265.4073 (+36.12%).

2015 Avg (October) 1000.1211

2014 Avg (October) 734.7138

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	796.8316	762.7119	783.1662
February	795.6727	785.9590	788.4424
March	830.1024	793.8491	808.8575
April	825.3898	817.1348	822.2066
May	839.8036	820.2783	825.9077
June	905.3616	841.7161	874.8990
July	969.8780	896.2001	919.7992
August	1003.4715	941.2338	973.0467
September	1011.3964	1002.7210	1006.2920
October	1014.0096	971.1280	1000.1211
November	976.2799	920.7648	940.4461
December	947.1617	904.0521	923.0324