2019 QAR to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1038.5278 UGX

YEARLY LOW

999.5014 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

1017.4117 UGX

2019 QAR to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the QAR to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on May 17, valuing the pair at 1038.5278. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on August 25, dropping to 999.5014.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 39.0264 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1017.3333 to the December average rate of 1009.2687, the exchange rate registered a net change of -0.79% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 1038.5278 was down 3.27% compared to the 2018 peak of 1073.6696, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 QAR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 5,192,639 UGX

2018 Average 5,117,104 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 4,997,507 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 195,132.11 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

1037.0674

1006.2352

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

QAR to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1021.7067, compared to 1013.1167 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 8.5900 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1021.7067

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1013.1167

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was June, with a trading range of 26.5833 UGX (High: 1035.9817 / Low: 1009.3984). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 6.1451 UGX (High: 1020.4586 / Low: 1014.3135).

June Spread (Volatile) ±26.5833

March Spread (Stable) ±6.1451

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 9.8771 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -9.8771

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (May 2019: 1034.4981) against the same month in 2018 (average: 1023.7079), the exchange rate shifted by +10.7902 (+1.05%).

2019 Avg (May) 1034.4981

2018 Avg (May) 1023.7079

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	1025.9723	1004.5258	1017.3333
February	1017.2456	1006.4004	1008.8045
March	1020.4586	1014.3135	1017.5910
April	1031.9638	1019.7991	1026.8131
May	1038.5278	1028.2994	1034.4981
June	1035.9817	1009.3984	1025.2000
July	1022.8122	1012.4490	1015.3229
August	1017.1204	999.5014	1013.7473
September	1013.3897	1002.7434	1009.4348
October	1024.1187	1010.5095	1015.7824
November	1018.9585	1012.0379	1015.1438
December	1017.5731	1005.1706	1009.2687