YEARLY HIGH
1021.2945 UGX
YEARLY LOW
954.1631 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
984.3637 UGX

2021 QAR to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2021

During 2021, the QAR to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 16, valuing the pair at 1021.2945. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on August 18, dropping to 954.1631.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 67.1314 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1013.3912 to the December average rate of 976.3691, the exchange rate registered a net change of -3.65% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2021 high of 1021.2945 was down 5.15% compared to the 2020 peak of 1076.7142, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 QAR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 5,106,473 UGX
2020 Average 5,103,931 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 4,770,815 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 335,657.24 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2021.

1018.0324
962.3382
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

QAR to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 994.9560, compared to 973.7714 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 21.1846 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 994.9560
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 973.7714

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2021 was October, with a trading range of 24.7430 UGX (High: 996.7660 / Low: 972.0230). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 5.2836 UGX (High: 1010.4883 / Low: 1005.2046).

October Spread (Volatile) ±24.7430
February Spread (Stable) ±5.2836

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2021. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 20.5306 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -20.5306

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2021: 1013.3912) against the same month in 2020 (average: 1010.3200), the exchange rate shifted by +3.0712 (+0.30%).

2021 Avg (January) 1013.3912
2020 Avg (January) 1010.3200

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 1021.2945 1003.8482 1013.3912
February 1010.4883 1005.2046 1007.1390
March 1007.0359 1001.3074 1005.4171
April 1006.2395 982.1194 996.1589
May 987.3274 967.3960 975.6283
June 976.6153 964.7417 972.0016
July 977.8747 963.1265 973.8765
August 975.8156 954.1631 967.1677
September 977.7926 954.9095 966.9794
October 996.7660 972.0230 982.2829
November 983.2472 969.0428 975.9530
December 981.8031 972.0933 976.3691