2016 QAR to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

997.2060 UGX

YEARLY LOW

908.4274 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

938.5530 UGX

2016 QAR to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the QAR to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 2, valuing the pair at 997.2060. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on April 24, dropping to 908.4274.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 88.7785 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 946.1037 to the December average rate of 988.8595, the exchange rate registered a net change of 4.52% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 997.2060 was down 1.66% compared to the 2015 peak of 1014.0096, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 QAR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 4,986,030 UGX

2015 Average 4,447,172 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 4,542,137 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 443,892.58 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

995.9594

910.7604

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

QAR to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 928.5466, compared to 948.5595 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 20.0129 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 928.5466

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 948.5595

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was November, with a trading range of 45.1315 UGX (High: 996.3851 / Low: 951.2536). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 3.8086 UGX (High: 928.4371 / Low: 924.6285).

November Spread (Volatile) ±45.1315

August Spread (Stable) ±3.8086

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between August and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 18.3017 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -18.3017

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2016: 988.8595) against the same month in 2015 (average: 923.0324), the exchange rate shifted by +65.8270 (+7.13%).

2016 Avg (December) 988.8595

2015 Avg (December) 923.0324

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	955.9567	927.3761	946.1037
February	955.1722	921.1703	941.3472
March	927.3010	916.9476	923.0456
April	925.7223	908.4274	917.8603
May	929.9214	911.0445	918.5562
June	937.1745	918.9753	924.3664
July	933.5674	924.2247	928.0355
August	928.4371	924.6285	926.1522
September	929.9130	925.3442	928.5196
October	950.6337	927.7359	942.0132
November	996.3851	951.2536	977.7768
December	997.2060	975.7073	988.8595