2011 RSD to RUB Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.4325 RUB

YEARLY LOW

0.3745 RUB

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.4023 RUB

2011 RSD to RUB Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2011

During 2011, the RSD to RUB exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on October 13, valuing the pair at 0.4325. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 11, dropping to 0.3745.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0581 RUB. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.3848 to the December average rate of 0.4032, the exchange rate registered a net change of 4.79% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2011 high of 0.4325 was down 3.99% compared to the 2010 peak of 0.4505, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 RSD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 2,163 RUB

2010 Average 1,961 RUB

Yearly Trough Low 1,872 RUB

Transaction Impact: A difference of 290.31 RUB purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2011.

0.4318

0.3805

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

RSD to RUB Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.3955, compared to 0.4091 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0137 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.3955

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.4091

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2011 was November, with a trading range of 0.0286 RUB (High: 0.4259 / Low: 0.3973). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0111 RUB (High: 0.3941 / Low: 0.3829).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.0286

February Spread (Stable) ±0.0111

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between July and October, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 0.0193 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0193

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (October 2011: 0.4276) against the same month in 2010 (average: 0.3815), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0461 (+12.09%).

2011 Avg (October) 0.4276

2010 Avg (October) 0.3815

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.3936	0.3745	0.3848
February	0.3941	0.3829	0.3871
March	0.3927	0.3762	0.3862
April	0.4111	0.3904	0.4009
May	0.4173	0.3999	0.4091
June	0.4168	0.3927	0.4048
July	0.4036	0.3802	0.3911
August	0.4141	0.3877	0.4051
September	0.4316	0.4077	0.4196
October	0.4325	0.4213	0.4276
November	0.4259	0.3973	0.4082
December	0.4098	0.3941	0.4032