YEARLY HIGH
0.3960 RUB
YEARLY LOW
0.3285 RUB
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.3540 RUB

2012 RSD to RUB Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2012

During 2012, the RSD to RUB exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 2, valuing the pair at 0.3960. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on August 8, dropping to 0.3285.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0675 RUB. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.3855 to the December average rate of 0.3556, the exchange rate registered a net change of -7.76% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2012 high of 0.3960 was down 8.45% compared to the 2011 peak of 0.4325, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 RSD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 1,980 RUB
2011 Average 2,012 RUB
Yearly Trough Low 1,643 RUB
Transaction Impact: A difference of 337.35 RUB purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2012.

0.3904
0.3310
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

RSD to RUB Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.3590, compared to 0.3490 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0101 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.3590
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.3490

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2012 was February, with a trading range of 0.0267 RUB (High: 0.3788 / Low: 0.3521). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0050 RUB (High: 0.3516 / Low: 0.3465).

February Spread (Volatile) ±0.0267
April Spread (Stable) ±0.0050

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between August and November, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.0205 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0205

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2012: 0.3855) against the same month in 2011 (average: 0.3848), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0007 (+0.18%).

2012 Avg (January) 0.3855
2011 Avg (January) 0.3848

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.3960 0.3747 0.3855
February 0.3788 0.3521 0.3649
March 0.3546 0.3463 0.3501
April 0.3516 0.3465 0.3483
May 0.3517 0.3447 0.3484
June 0.3668 0.3513 0.3570
July 0.3559 0.3327 0.3427
August 0.3445 0.3285 0.3360
September 0.3525 0.3430 0.3477
October 0.3618 0.3474 0.3549
November 0.3598 0.3528 0.3569
December 0.3601 0.3493 0.3556