2016 RSD to RUB Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.7336 RUB

YEARLY LOW

0.5113 RUB

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.6030 RUB

2016 RSD to RUB Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the RSD to RUB exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 11, valuing the pair at 0.7336. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 28, dropping to 0.5113.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.2223 RUB. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.6785 to the December average rate of 0.5303, the exchange rate registered a net change of -21.84% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 0.7336 was up 8.39% compared to the 2015 peak of 0.6768, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 RSD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 3,668 RUB

2015 Average 2,816 RUB

Yearly Trough Low 2,556 RUB

Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,111.65 RUB purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

0.7151

0.5134

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

RSD to RUB Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.6370, compared to 0.5689 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0682 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.6370

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.5689

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was January, with a trading range of 0.0799 RUB (High: 0.7280 / Low: 0.6481). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0230 RUB (High: 0.5972 / Low: 0.5742).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.0799

September Spread (Stable) ±0.0230

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2016. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 0.0666 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0666

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2016: 0.6983) against the same month in 2015 (average: 0.6015), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0968 (+16.09%).

2016 Avg (February) 0.6983

2015 Avg (February) 0.6015

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.7280	0.6481	0.6785
February	0.7336	0.6668	0.6983
March	0.6498	0.6166	0.6317
April	0.6364	0.5998	0.6149
May	0.6242	0.5939	0.6062
June	0.6077	0.5749	0.5927
July	0.5986	0.5647	0.5778
August	0.6066	0.5826	0.5902
September	0.5972	0.5742	0.5869
October	0.5743	0.5497	0.5616
November	0.5819	0.5500	0.5663
December	0.5554	0.5113	0.5303