YEARLY HIGH
0.7843 RUB
YEARLY LOW
0.6870 RUB
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.7417 RUB

2021 RSD to RUB Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2021

During 2021, the RSD to RUB exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 28, valuing the pair at 0.7843. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on October 26, dropping to 0.6870.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0973 RUB. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.7697 to the December average rate of 0.7100, the exchange rate registered a net change of -7.75% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2021 high of 0.7843 was down 1.70% compared to the 2020 peak of 0.7978, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 RSD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 3,921 RUB
2020 Average 3,515 RUB
Yearly Trough Low 3,435 RUB
Transaction Impact: A difference of 486.44 RUB purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2021.

0.7797
0.6971
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

RSD to RUB Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.7614, compared to 0.7220 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0394 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.7614
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.7220

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2021 was March, with a trading range of 0.0339 RUB (High: 0.7721 / Low: 0.7382). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0126 RUB (High: 0.7441 / Low: 0.7315).

March Spread (Volatile) ±0.0339
August Spread (Stable) ±0.0126

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between October and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between September and October, when the average rate fell by 0.0263 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0263

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2021: 0.7697) against the same month in 2020 (average: 0.5844), the exchange rate shifted by +0.1853 (+31.70%).

2021 Avg (January) 0.7697
2020 Avg (January) 0.5844

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.7843 0.7545 0.7697
February 0.7830 0.7565 0.7644
March 0.7721 0.7382 0.7544
April 0.7837 0.7615 0.7728
May 0.7736 0.7546 0.7636
June 0.7643 0.7329 0.7438
July 0.7530 0.7373 0.7439
August 0.7441 0.7315 0.7364
September 0.7410 0.7159 0.7303
October 0.7171 0.6870 0.7039
November 0.7276 0.6959 0.7076
December 0.7234 0.7051 0.7100