YEARLY HIGH
0.6738 RUB
YEARLY LOW
0.5837 RUB
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.6148 RUB

2019 RSD to RUB Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the RSD to RUB exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 2, valuing the pair at 0.6738. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 25, dropping to 0.5837.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0900 RUB. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.6437 to the December average rate of 0.5942, the exchange rate registered a net change of -7.69% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 0.6738 was down 2.51% compared to the 2018 peak of 0.6911, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 RSD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 3,369 RUB
2018 Average 3,131 RUB
Yearly Trough Low 2,919 RUB
Transaction Impact: A difference of 450.21 RUB purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

0.6486
0.5893
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

RSD to RUB Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.6242, compared to 0.6055 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0187 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.6242
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.6055

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was January, with a trading range of 0.0457 RUB (High: 0.6738 / Low: 0.6281). On the other end, November was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0065 RUB (High: 0.6043 / Low: 0.5979).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.0457
November Spread (Stable) ±0.0065

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2019. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 0.0142 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0142

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2019: 0.6437) against the same month in 2018 (average: 0.5828), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0609 (+10.44%).

2019 Avg (January) 0.6437
2018 Avg (January) 0.5828

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.6738 0.6281 0.6437
February 0.6379 0.6265 0.6316
March 0.6351 0.6142 0.6247
April 0.6227 0.6061 0.6148
May 0.6223 0.6087 0.6157
June 0.6232 0.6029 0.6143
July 0.6084 0.5973 0.6024
August 0.6306 0.6053 0.6224
September 0.6236 0.5965 0.6082
October 0.6089 0.6018 0.6051
November 0.6043 0.5979 0.6006
December 0.6051 0.5837 0.5942