2018 RSD to RUB Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.6911 RUB

YEARLY LOW

0.5719 RUB

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.6262 RUB

2018 RSD to RUB Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the RSD to RUB exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on September 10, valuing the pair at 0.6911. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 9, dropping to 0.5719.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1193 RUB. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.5828 to the December average rate of 0.6504, the exchange rate registered a net change of 11.58% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 0.6911 was up 15.10% compared to the 2017 peak of 0.6005, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 RSD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 3,456 RUB

2017 Average 2,720 RUB

Yearly Trough Low 2,859 RUB

Transaction Impact: A difference of 596.32 RUB purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

0.6741

0.5745

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

RSD to RUB Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.6080, compared to 0.6444 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0364 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.6080

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.6444

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was April, with a trading range of 0.0640 RUB (High: 0.6582 / Low: 0.5942). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0124 RUB (High: 0.6026 / Low: 0.5903).

April Spread (Volatile) ±0.0640

March Spread (Stable) ±0.0124

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between September and October, when the average rate fell by 0.0268 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0268

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (September 2018: 0.6658) against the same month in 2017 (average: 0.5759), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0899 (+15.60%).

2018 Avg (September) 0.6658

2017 Avg (September) 0.5759

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.5890	0.5719	0.5828
February	0.6027	0.5806	0.5934
March	0.6026	0.5903	0.5961
April	0.6582	0.5942	0.6311
May	0.6482	0.6080	0.6236
June	0.6267	0.6129	0.6207
July	0.6309	0.6137	0.6226
August	0.6734	0.6206	0.6491
September	0.6911	0.6438	0.6658
October	0.6527	0.6288	0.6390
November	0.6507	0.6310	0.6394
December	0.6734	0.6352	0.6504