2011 RUB to SOS Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

59.3050 SOS

YEARLY LOW

49.5341 SOS

YEARLY AVERAGE

55.0196 SOS

2011 RUB to SOS Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2011

During 2011, the RUB to SOS exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on July 27, valuing the pair at 59.3050. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on October 4, dropping to 49.5341.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 9.7709 SOS. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 53.0691 to the December average rate of 51.4866, the exchange rate registered a net change of -2.98% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2011 high of 59.3050 was up 10.11% compared to the 2010 peak of 53.8609, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 RUB based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 296,525 SOS

2010 Average 256,511 SOS

Yearly Trough Low 247,671 SOS

Transaction Impact: A difference of 48,854.33 SOS purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2011.

59.0248

50.8013

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

RUB to SOS Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 56.0157, compared to 54.0236 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 1.9920 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 56.0157

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 54.0236

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2011 was September, with a trading range of 6.3197 SOS (High: 56.3263 / Low: 50.0067). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 1.2934 SOS (High: 56.9656 / Low: 55.6722).

September Spread (Volatile) ±6.3197

March Spread (Stable) ±1.2934

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 6 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 3.6164 points.

Longest Streak 6 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -3.6164

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (July 2011: 58.3395) against the same month in 2010 (average: 52.1591), the exchange rate shifted by +6.1804 (+11.85%).

2011 Avg (July) 58.3395

2010 Avg (July) 52.1591

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	53.8639	52.0091	53.0691
February	55.8290	53.8106	54.7503
March	56.9656	55.6722	56.3853
April	58.2699	56.3956	57.0199
May	58.5749	55.9714	57.2482
June	58.4549	56.5932	57.6211
July	59.3050	56.0269	58.3395
August	59.0997	54.7767	56.6793
September	56.3263	50.0067	53.0630
October	54.2161	49.5341	51.9094
November	53.5583	51.2308	52.6639
December	52.9053	50.4002	51.4866