YEARLY HIGH
10.4153 SOS
YEARLY LOW
8.1931 SOS
YEARLY AVERAGE
9.2610 SOS

2018 RUB to SOS Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the RUB to SOS exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 26, valuing the pair at 10.4153. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on September 10, dropping to 8.1931.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 2.2222 SOS. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 10.2333 to the December average rate of 8.5810, the exchange rate registered a net change of -16.15% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 10.4153 was up 0.04% compared to the 2017 peak of 10.4107, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 RUB based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 52,077 SOS
2017 Average 49,672 SOS
Yearly Trough Low 40,966 SOS
Transaction Impact: A difference of 11,111.04 SOS purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

10.4007
8.3911
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

RUB to SOS Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 9.7627, compared to 8.7592 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 1.0034 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 9.7627
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 8.7592

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was April, with a trading range of 0.9546 SOS (High: 10.1171 / Low: 9.1625). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.2502 SOS (High: 8.9030 / Low: 8.6528).

April Spread (Volatile) ±0.9546
October Spread (Stable) ±0.2502

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2018. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 0.6533 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.6533

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2018: 10.2155) against the same month in 2017 (average: 9.9100), the exchange rate shifted by +0.3055 (+3.08%).

2018 Avg (February) 10.2155
2017 Avg (February) 9.9100

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 10.3877 10.0111 10.2333
February 10.4153 9.9463 10.2155
March 10.3252 10.0382 10.1690
April 10.1171 9.1625 9.5157
May 9.3802 9.0878 9.2512
June 9.3423 8.9622 9.1915
July 9.3642 9.0525 9.2012
August 9.1936 8.4790 8.7115
September 8.8270 8.1931 8.5586
October 8.9030 8.6528 8.7957
November 8.8426 8.5221 8.7075
December 8.7484 8.3180 8.5810