YEARLY HIGH
8.5962 SOS
YEARLY LOW
5.6329 SOS
YEARLY AVERAGE
6.7429 SOS

2023 RUB to SOS Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2023

During 2023, the RUB to SOS exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 15, valuing the pair at 8.5962. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on October 7, dropping to 5.6329.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 2.9633 SOS. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 8.1328 to the December average rate of 6.2797, the exchange rate registered a net change of -22.79% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2023 high of 8.5962 was down 21.94% compared to the 2022 peak of 11.0129, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 RUB based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 42,981 SOS
2022 Average 42,640 SOS
Yearly Trough Low 28,164 SOS
Transaction Impact: A difference of 14,816.65 SOS purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2023.

8.3575
5.6616
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

RUB to SOS Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 7.3891, compared to 6.0967 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 1.2924 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 7.3891
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 6.0967

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2023 was January, with a trading range of 0.8772 SOS (High: 8.5962 / Low: 7.7190). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.2410 SOS (High: 6.0202 / Low: 5.7792).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.8772
September Spread (Stable) ±0.2410

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2023. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 0.5446 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.5446

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2023: 8.1328) against the same month in 2022 (average: 7.6001), the exchange rate shifted by +0.5327 (+7.01%).

2023 Avg (January) 8.1328
2022 Avg (January) 7.6001

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 8.5962 7.7190 8.1328
February 8.1289 7.4738 7.7393
March 7.5809 7.2815 7.4403
April 7.3330 6.9351 7.0150
May 7.4707 6.9899 7.1848
June 7.0624 6.4002 6.8221
July 6.4337 6.1623 6.2775
August 6.1640 5.6950 5.9417
September 6.0202 5.7792 5.8942
October 6.1445 5.6329 5.8863
November 6.4785 6.1048 6.3006
December 6.4538 6.1467 6.2797