YEARLY HIGH
9.5648 SOS
YEARLY LOW
7.4998 SOS
YEARLY AVERAGE
8.8880 SOS

2016 RUB to SOS Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the RUB to SOS exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 28, valuing the pair at 9.5648. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 21, dropping to 7.4998.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 2.0650 SOS. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 8.0928 to the December average rate of 9.2381, the exchange rate registered a net change of 14.15% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 9.5648 was down 32.52% compared to the 2015 peak of 14.1753, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 RUB based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 47,824 SOS
2015 Average 55,790 SOS
Yearly Trough Low 37,499 SOS
Transaction Impact: A difference of 10,324.89 SOS purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

9.4182
7.8049
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

RUB to SOS Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 8.6939, compared to 9.0821 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.3882 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 8.6939
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 9.0821

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was January, with a trading range of 1.0287 SOS (High: 8.5285 / Low: 7.4998). On the other end, June was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.3409 SOS (High: 9.2198 / Low: 8.8789).

January Spread (Volatile) ±1.0287
June Spread (Stable) ±0.3409

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 0.3889 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.3889

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2016: 9.2381) against the same month in 2015 (average: 8.7981), the exchange rate shifted by +0.4400 (+5.00%).

2016 Avg (December) 9.2381
2015 Avg (December) 8.7981

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 8.5285 7.4998 8.0928
February 8.0957 7.6712 7.9393
March 9.1421 8.2604 8.7675
April 9.3502 8.8821 9.1623
May 9.3501 8.8954 9.1646
June 9.2198 8.8789 9.0368
July 9.2067 8.7339 9.0506
August 9.1217 8.6484 8.9778
September 9.2691 8.8687 9.0472
October 9.4190 9.0706 9.2838
November 9.0833 8.5280 8.8949
December 9.5648 8.8917 9.2381