YEARLY HIGH
9.5838 SOS
YEARLY LOW
7.1870 SOS
YEARLY AVERAGE
8.0772 SOS

2020 RUB to SOS Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2020

During 2020, the RUB to SOS exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 10, valuing the pair at 9.5838. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on March 18, dropping to 7.1870.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 2.3968 SOS. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 9.3792 to the December average rate of 7.8535, the exchange rate registered a net change of -16.27% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2020 high of 9.5838 was up 2.38% compared to the 2019 peak of 9.3609, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 RUB based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 47,919 SOS
2019 Average 44,831 SOS
Yearly Trough Low 35,935 SOS
Transaction Impact: A difference of 11,984.23 SOS purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2020.

9.5680
7.3025
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

RUB to SOS Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 8.4018, compared to 7.7527 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.6491 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 8.4018
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 7.7527

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2020 was March, with a trading range of 1.5916 SOS (High: 8.7786 / Low: 7.1870). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.2840 SOS (High: 7.6229 / Low: 7.3389).

March Spread (Volatile) ±1.5916
October Spread (Stable) ±0.2840

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 1.2382 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -1.2382

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2020: 9.3792) against the same month in 2019 (average: 8.6995), the exchange rate shifted by +0.6797 (+7.81%).

2020 Avg (January) 9.3792
2019 Avg (January) 8.6995

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 9.5838 9.1598 9.3792
February 9.2528 8.7600 9.0788
March 8.7786 7.1870 7.8406
April 7.9307 7.3809 7.7498
May 8.2822 7.6490 7.9805
June 8.5170 8.1412 8.3819
July 8.2436 7.8572 8.1209
August 7.9581 7.6474 7.8468
September 7.8576 7.3164 7.6399
October 7.6229 7.3389 7.4913
November 7.6878 7.1968 7.5636
December 7.9836 7.6402 7.8535