YEARLY HIGH
9.3609 SOS
YEARLY LOW
8.3512 SOS
YEARLY AVERAGE
8.9655 SOS

2019 RUB to SOS Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the RUB to SOS exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 27, valuing the pair at 9.3609. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 1, dropping to 8.3512.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.0097 SOS. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 8.6995 to the December average rate of 9.2263, the exchange rate registered a net change of 6.06% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 9.3609 was down 10.12% compared to the 2018 peak of 10.4153, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 RUB based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 46,805 SOS
2018 Average 46,280 SOS
Yearly Trough Low 41,756 SOS
Transaction Impact: A difference of 5,048.65 SOS purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

9.2790
8.6468
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

RUB to SOS Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 8.8986, compared to 9.0324 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.1339 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 8.8986
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 9.0324

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was January, with a trading range of 0.5162 SOS (High: 8.8674 / Low: 8.3512). On the other end, November was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1575 SOS (High: 9.1262 / Low: 8.9687).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.5162
November Spread (Stable) ±0.1575

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between August and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 0.3955 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.3955

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2019: 9.2263) against the same month in 2018 (average: 8.5810), the exchange rate shifted by +0.6453 (+7.52%).

2019 Avg (December) 9.2263
2018 Avg (December) 8.5810

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 8.8674 8.3512 8.6995
February 8.8874 8.6874 8.8106
March 9.0914 8.7083 8.8925
April 9.0981 8.8548 8.9766
May 9.0497 8.8640 8.9496
June 9.2539 8.8246 9.0626
July 9.2649 9.0863 9.1756
August 9.0028 8.5826 8.7801
September 9.0871 8.6602 8.9244
October 9.1008 8.8340 9.0144
November 9.1262 8.9687 9.0738
December 9.3609 8.9932 9.2263