2012 SCR to CDF Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

71.7670 CDF

YEARLY LOW

61.5642 CDF

YEARLY AVERAGE

67.1340 CDF

2012 SCR to CDF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2012

During 2012, the SCR to CDF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on September 8, valuing the pair at 71.7670. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on July 22, dropping to 61.5642.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 10.2029 CDF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 65.6829 to the December average rate of 70.6985, the exchange rate registered a net change of 7.64% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2012 high of 71.7670 was down 5.77% compared to the 2011 peak of 76.1623, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 SCR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 358,835 CDF

2011 Average 366,300 CDF

Yearly Trough Low 307,821 CDF

Transaction Impact: A difference of 51,014.44 CDF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2012.

71.7898

62.6732

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

SCR to CDF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 64.9313, compared to 69.3367 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 4.4054 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 64.9313

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 69.3367

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2012 was August, with a trading range of 5.8273 CDF (High: 71.2477 / Low: 65.4205). On the other end, November was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.9490 CDF (High: 71.0580 / Low: 70.1090).

August Spread (Volatile) ±5.8273

November Spread (Stable) ±0.9490

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between July and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 1.3192 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -1.3192

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (September 2012: 71.0301) against the same month in 2011 (average: 74.4150), the exchange rate shifted by -3.3849 (-4.55%).

2012 Avg (September) 71.0301

2011 Avg (September) 74.4150

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	68.1400	64.3680	65.6829
February	66.6536	63.8267	65.3558
March	66.7758	64.1461	65.0075
April	66.8188	63.7629	65.3077
May	66.1214	62.6547	64.7764
June	65.8746	62.2817	63.4572
July	65.8693	61.5642	63.4329
August	71.2477	65.4205	69.7318
September	71.7670	70.5363	71.0301
October	71.1897	70.1417	70.5749
November	71.0580	70.1090	70.5518
December	71.3456	70.0667	70.6985