2014 SCR to CDF Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

77.3325 CDF

YEARLY LOW

64.8697 CDF

YEARLY AVERAGE

72.8491 CDF

2014 SCR to CDF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2014

During 2014, the SCR to CDF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on April 28, valuing the pair at 77.3325. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on November 8, dropping to 64.8697.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 12.4629 CDF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 76.5749 to the December average rate of 66.2235, the exchange rate registered a net change of -13.52% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2014 high of 77.3325 was down 3.22% compared to the 2013 peak of 79.9015, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 SCR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 386,663 CDF

2013 Average 382,091 CDF

Yearly Trough Low 324,348 CDF

Transaction Impact: A difference of 62,314.34 CDF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2014.

77.7091

64.0993

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

SCR to CDF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 75.9705, compared to 69.7276 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 6.2430 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 75.9705

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 69.7276

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2014 was October, with a trading range of 5.2561 CDF (High: 70.4125 / Low: 65.1565). On the other end, November was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.5689 CDF (High: 65.4386 / Low: 64.8697).

October Spread (Volatile) ±5.2561

November Spread (Stable) ±0.5689

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2014. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 2.7978 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -2.7978

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (April 2014: 76.3916) against the same month in 2013 (average: 78.5854), the exchange rate shifted by -2.1939 (-2.79%).

2014 Avg (April) 76.3916

2013 Avg (April) 78.5854

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	77.0480	75.9662	76.5749
February	76.5292	75.2839	76.0168
March	76.8729	75.2537	76.0148
April	77.3325	75.0388	76.3916
May	77.0437	73.6086	75.5958
June	76.1381	74.2371	75.2294
July	75.3097	74.6886	74.9980
August	75.0828	71.1614	73.4235
September	71.4675	69.9665	70.6256
October	70.4125	65.1565	67.8615
November	65.4386	64.8697	65.2334
December	69.5698	65.1017	66.2235