YEARLY HIGH
122.4604 CDF
YEARLY LOW
111.3679 CDF
YEARLY AVERAGE
118.9333 CDF

2018 SCR to CDF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the SCR to CDF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on July 26, valuing the pair at 122.4604. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 1, dropping to 111.3679.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 11.0925 CDF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 115.1022 to the December average rate of 118.8830, the exchange rate registered a net change of 3.28% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 122.4604 was up 0.78% compared to the 2017 peak of 121.5120, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 SCR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 612,302 CDF
2017 Average 536,541 CDF
Yearly Trough Low 556,840 CDF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 55,462.26 CDF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

120.3244
114.6274
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

SCR to CDF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 118.5041, compared to 119.3626 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.8586 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 118.5041
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 119.3626

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was July, with a trading range of 7.1805 CDF (High: 122.4604 / Low: 115.2798). On the other end, June was the most stable month, with a tight range of 1.1194 CDF (High: 120.1930 / Low: 119.0736).

July Spread (Volatile) ±7.1805
June Spread (Stable) ±1.1194

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between September and October, when the average rate fell by 0.5223 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.5223

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (July 2018: 119.6170) against the same month in 2017 (average: 114.8619), the exchange rate shifted by +4.7551 (+4.14%).

2018 Avg (July) 119.6170
2017 Avg (July) 114.8619

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 117.5370 111.3679 115.1022
February 121.0549 114.7492 118.3198
March 120.5451 114.9485 118.5413
April 120.1454 117.3835 119.8496
May 120.1463 115.0134 119.6918
June 120.1930 119.0736 119.5196
July 122.4604 115.2798 119.6170
August 120.8099 118.8469 119.6843
September 120.8682 113.8745 119.8103
October 120.6226 117.6915 119.2879
November 120.4414 117.6911 118.8933
December 120.4155 116.7836 118.8830