2016 SCR to CDF Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

90.0220 CDF

YEARLY LOW

64.6194 CDF

YEARLY AVERAGE

72.9476 CDF

2016 SCR to CDF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the SCR to CDF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 24, valuing the pair at 90.0220. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 14, dropping to 64.6194.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 25.4026 CDF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 70.8786 to the December average rate of 87.0127, the exchange rate registered a net change of 22.76% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 90.0220 was up 17.68% compared to the 2015 peak of 76.4959, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 SCR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 450,110 CDF

2015 Average 348,342 CDF

Yearly Trough Low 323,097 CDF

Transaction Impact: A difference of 127,013.22 CDF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

88.8042

67.3059

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

SCR to CDF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 70.0863, compared to 75.8088 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 5.7225 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 70.0863

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 75.8088

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was November, with a trading range of 17.4822 CDF (High: 85.8928 / Low: 68.4106). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 1.7607 CDF (High: 74.6581 / Low: 72.8974).

November Spread (Volatile) ±17.4822

September Spread (Stable) ±1.7607

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and August, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 1.5243 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -1.5243

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2016: 87.0127) against the same month in 2015 (average: 72.5736), the exchange rate shifted by +14.4391 (+19.90%).

2016 Avg (December) 87.0127

2015 Avg (December) 72.5736

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	72.3669	67.7997	70.8786
February	72.3546	64.6194	69.3543
March	71.6167	68.2869	69.7589
April	72.7056	65.8328	69.0975
May	71.1419	67.0641	69.6467
June	75.5959	69.5432	71.7821
July	74.3772	70.2482	72.3309
August	74.7616	72.1803	73.7998
September	74.6581	72.8974	73.6807
October	74.7412	71.9424	73.3288
November	85.8928	68.4106	74.7001
December	90.0220	84.5499	87.0127