YEARLY HIGH
133.7724 CDF
YEARLY LOW
118.0205 CDF
YEARLY AVERAGE
120.8450 CDF

2019 SCR to CDF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the SCR to CDF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on August 11, valuing the pair at 133.7724. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on April 28, dropping to 118.0205.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 15.7519 CDF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 119.7641 to the December average rate of 122.5005, the exchange rate registered a net change of 2.28% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 133.7724 was up 9.24% compared to the 2018 peak of 122.4604, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 SCR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 668,862 CDF
2018 Average 594,660 CDF
Yearly Trough Low 590,103 CDF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 78,759.37 CDF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

122.7988
119.2190
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

SCR to CDF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 119.9882, compared to 121.7018 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 1.7136 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 119.9882
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 121.7018

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was August, with a trading range of 14.3429 CDF (High: 133.7724 / Low: 119.4295). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 1.0413 CDF (High: 121.6322 / Low: 120.5909).

August Spread (Volatile) ±14.3429
October Spread (Stable) ±1.0413

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between March and August, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 0.5173 points.

Longest Streak 5 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.5173

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (August 2019: 122.0217) against the same month in 2018 (average: 119.6843), the exchange rate shifted by +2.3374 (+1.95%).

2019 Avg (August) 122.0217
2018 Avg (August) 119.6843

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 120.6596 119.0914 119.7641
February 120.7154 118.6831 119.7587
March 120.2968 118.0937 119.5173
April 120.1038 118.0205 119.6299
May 121.1821 119.5358 120.2468
June 121.6172 120.1018 121.0125
July 122.0686 118.3957 121.3981
August 133.7724 119.4295 122.0217
September 122.3032 121.1324 121.5045
October 121.6322 120.5909 121.2566
November 128.1450 118.2696 121.5294
December 123.1039 121.5369 122.5005