YEARLY HIGH
18.6194 KES
YEARLY LOW
16.9397 KES
YEARLY AVERAGE
17.8466 KES

2012 TJS to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2012

During 2012, the TJS to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on September 29, valuing the pair at 18.6194. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on July 12, dropping to 16.9397.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.6796 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 18.0955 to the December average rate of 18.0373, the exchange rate registered a net change of -0.32% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2012 high of 18.6194 was down 16.75% compared to the 2011 peak of 22.3656, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 TJS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 93,097 KES
2011 Average 96,190 KES
Yearly Trough Low 84,699 KES
Transaction Impact: A difference of 8,398.05 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2012.

18.4430
17.3211
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

TJS to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 17.6527, compared to 18.0404 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.3877 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 17.6527
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 18.0404

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2012 was July, with a trading range of 1.4784 KES (High: 18.4182 / Low: 16.9397). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0583 KES (High: 17.5023 / Low: 17.4440).

July Spread (Volatile) ±1.4784
April Spread (Stable) ±0.0583

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between March and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.6407 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.6407

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (September 2012: 18.2347) against the same month in 2011 (average: 20.2224), the exchange rate shifted by -1.9877 (-9.83%).

2012 Avg (September) 18.2347
2011 Avg (September) 20.2224

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 18.3997 17.6269 18.0955
February 17.6035 17.3469 17.4547
March 17.4798 17.2424 17.4146
April 17.5023 17.4440 17.4669
May 18.2071 17.4482 17.6971
June 18.0835 17.5198 17.7876
July 18.4182 16.9397 17.7628
August 18.4123 18.2937 18.3495
September 18.6194 17.8011 18.2347
October 18.5323 17.8001 17.8919
November 18.0210 17.9019 17.9663
December 18.0723 17.9662 18.0373