YEARLY HIGH
10.0236 KES
YEARLY LOW
9.3365 KES
YEARLY AVERAGE
9.6500 KES

2021 TJS to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2021

During 2021, the TJS to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 24, valuing the pair at 10.0236. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on May 10, dropping to 9.3365.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.6871 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 9.6617 to the December average rate of 10.0058, the exchange rate registered a net change of 3.56% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2021 high of 10.0236 was down 8.76% compared to the 2020 peak of 10.9861, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 TJS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 50,118 KES
2020 Average 51,680 KES
Yearly Trough Low 46,683 KES
Transaction Impact: A difference of 3,435.66 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2021.

10.0639
9.3664
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

TJS to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 9.5431, compared to 9.7568 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.2137 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 9.5431
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 9.7568

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2021 was April, with a trading range of 0.2142 KES (High: 9.5807 / Low: 9.3665). On the other end, June was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0222 KES (High: 9.4650 / Low: 9.4428).

April Spread (Volatile) ±0.2142
June Spread (Stable) ±0.0222

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 7 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 0.1550 points.

Longest Streak 7 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1550

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2021: 10.0058) against the same month in 2020 (average: 9.7566), the exchange rate shifted by +0.2491 (+2.55%).

2021 Avg (December) 10.0058
2020 Avg (December) 9.7566

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 9.6899 9.6123 9.6617
February 9.6678 9.5992 9.6227
March 9.6399 9.6009 9.6263
April 9.5807 9.3665 9.4713
May 9.5015 9.3365 9.4245
June 9.4650 9.4428 9.4524
July 9.5228 9.4571 9.4852
August 9.6914 9.5206 9.5861
September 9.7483 9.6894 9.7167
October 9.8934 9.7547 9.8177
November 9.9712 9.8840 9.9294
December 10.0236 9.9739 10.0058