2019 TJS to KES Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

11.0515 KES

YEARLY LOW

10.3791 KES

YEARLY AVERAGE

10.7069 KES

2019 TJS to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the TJS to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on July 30, valuing the pair at 11.0515. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 23, dropping to 10.3791.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.6724 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 10.7707 to the December average rate of 10.4725, the exchange rate registered a net change of -2.77% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 11.0515 was down 6.05% compared to the 2018 peak of 11.7633, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 TJS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 55,258 KES

2018 Average 55,397 KES

Yearly Trough Low 51,896 KES

Transaction Impact: A difference of 3,361.98 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

10.9851

10.4259

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

TJS to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 10.7090, compared to 10.7048 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0042 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 10.7090

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 10.7048

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was August, with a trading range of 0.3501 KES (High: 10.9743 / Low: 10.6242). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0413 KES (High: 10.7259 / Low: 10.6847).

August Spread (Volatile) ±0.3501

September Spread (Stable) ±0.0413

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.1479 points.

Longest Streak 5 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1479

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (July 2019: 10.9385) against the same month in 2018 (average: 10.8246), the exchange rate shifted by +0.1138 (+1.05%).

2019 Avg (July) 10.9385

2018 Avg (July) 10.8246

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	10.8434	10.6456	10.7707
February	10.6870	10.5924	10.6228
March	10.7141	10.5593	10.6406
April	10.7710	10.6542	10.7156
May	10.7513	10.6944	10.7258
June	10.8390	10.6906	10.7787
July	11.0515	10.8299	10.9385
August	10.9743	10.6242	10.8468
September	10.7259	10.6847	10.7109
October	10.7607	10.6411	10.7003
November	10.6585	10.4299	10.5600
December	10.6123	10.3791	10.4725