2018 TJS to KES Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

11.7633 KES

YEARLY LOW

10.6615 KES

YEARLY AVERAGE

11.0819 KES

2018 TJS to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the TJS to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 3, valuing the pair at 11.7633. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on July 16, dropping to 10.6615.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.1018 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 11.6647 to the December average rate of 10.8456, the exchange rate registered a net change of -7.02% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 11.7633 was down 11.10% compared to the 2017 peak of 13.2328, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 TJS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 58,817 KES

2017 Average 60,256 KES

Yearly Trough Low 53,307 KES

Transaction Impact: A difference of 5,509.23 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

11.7618

10.5962

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

TJS to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 11.3873, compared to 10.7765 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.6109 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 11.3873

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 10.7765

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was July, with a trading range of 0.3649 KES (High: 11.0264 / Low: 10.6615). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0734 KES (High: 10.7356 / Low: 10.6622).

July Spread (Volatile) ±0.3649

August Spread (Stable) ±0.0734

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between August and November, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 0.2968 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.2968

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2018: 11.6647) against the same month in 2017 (average: 13.1297), the exchange rate shifted by -1.4651 (-11.16%).

2018 Avg (January) 11.6647

2017 Avg (January) 13.1297

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	11.7633	11.5806	11.6647
February	11.5507	11.4192	11.4935
March	11.5189	11.4167	11.4684
April	11.5007	11.2549	11.3620
May	11.2993	11.1490	11.2140
June	11.2781	11.0042	11.1214
July	11.0264	10.6615	10.8246
August	10.7356	10.6622	10.6934
September	10.7492	10.6756	10.7009
October	10.8137	10.7049	10.7313
November	10.9831	10.7546	10.8631
December	10.8911	10.7527	10.8456