YEARLY HIGH
14.6649 KES
YEARLY LOW
12.7595 KES
YEARLY AVERAGE
12.9715 KES

2016 TJS to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the TJS to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 1, valuing the pair at 14.6649. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on May 8, dropping to 12.7595.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.9054 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 13.8773 to the December average rate of 12.9750, the exchange rate registered a net change of -6.50% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 14.6649 was down 16.10% compared to the 2015 peak of 17.4792, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 TJS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 73,324 KES
2015 Average 80,047 KES
Yearly Trough Low 63,797 KES
Transaction Impact: A difference of 9,527.00 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

13.9848
12.6957
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

TJS to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 13.0446, compared to 12.8983 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.1463 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 13.0446
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 12.8983

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was January, with a trading range of 1.5379 KES (High: 14.6649 / Low: 13.1270). On the other end, November was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0505 KES (High: 12.9353 / Low: 12.8849).

January Spread (Volatile) ±1.5379
November Spread (Stable) ±0.0505

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and August, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.9002 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.9002

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2016: 13.8773) against the same month in 2015 (average: 17.3033), the exchange rate shifted by -3.4259 (-19.80%).

2016 Avg (January) 13.8773
2015 Avg (January) 17.3033

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 14.6649 13.1270 13.8773
February 13.0586 12.9094 12.9771
March 12.9205 12.8371 12.8919
April 12.9094 12.8418 12.8657
May 12.8462 12.7595 12.8031
June 12.8746 12.8170 12.8528
July 12.9088 12.8430 12.8756
August 12.9295 12.8732 12.8882
September 12.9090 12.8295 12.8601
October 12.9022 12.8358 12.8716
November 12.9353 12.8849 12.9195
December 13.0598 12.9130 12.9750