YEARLY HIGH
10.9861 KES
YEARLY LOW
9.5961 KES
YEARLY AVERAGE
10.3356 KES

2020 TJS to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2020

During 2020, the TJS to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on March 23, valuing the pair at 10.9861. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 27, dropping to 9.5961.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.3900 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 10.4288 to the December average rate of 9.7566, the exchange rate registered a net change of -6.45% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2020 high of 10.9861 was down 0.59% compared to the 2019 peak of 11.0515, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 TJS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 54,931 KES
2019 Average 53,539 KES
Yearly Trough Low 47,981 KES
Transaction Impact: A difference of 6,949.99 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2020.

10.6441
9.6760
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

TJS to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 10.4239, compared to 10.2473 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.1766 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 10.4239
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 10.2473

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2020 was November, with a trading range of 0.9418 KES (High: 10.5508 / Low: 9.6090). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0483 KES (High: 10.5242 / Low: 10.4760).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.9418
September Spread (Stable) ±0.0483

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between June and October, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 0.7151 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.7151

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (March 2020: 10.5634) against the same month in 2019 (average: 10.6406), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0772 (-0.73%).

2020 Avg (March) 10.5634
2019 Avg (March) 10.6406

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 10.4909 10.3522 10.4288
February 10.4562 10.3499 10.4018
March 10.9861 10.2309 10.5634
April 10.4748 10.3025 10.4040
May 10.5386 10.2866 10.4102
June 10.4258 10.3044 10.3353
July 10.4874 10.3228 10.4128
August 10.5464 10.4394 10.4805
September 10.5242 10.4760 10.5062
October 10.5460 10.4968 10.5213
November 10.5508 9.6090 9.8062
December 9.8524 9.5961 9.7566