YEARLY HIGH
4.0665 MOP
YEARLY LOW
3.4858 MOP
YEARLY AVERAGE
3.7757 MOP

2015 TOP to MOP Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2015

During 2015, the TOP to MOP exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 1, valuing the pair at 4.0665. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 14, dropping to 3.4858.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.5807 MOP. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 4.0342 to the December average rate of 3.5530, the exchange rate registered a net change of -11.93% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2015 high of 4.0665 was down 8.31% compared to the 2014 peak of 4.4352, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 TOP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 20,332 MOP
2014 Average 21,177 MOP
Yearly Trough Low 17,429 MOP
Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,903.55 MOP purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2015.

4.0823
3.5049
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

TOP to MOP Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 3.9464, compared to 3.6051 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.3413 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 3.9464
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 3.6051

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2015 was June, with a trading range of 0.2151 MOP (High: 3.9038 / Low: 3.6887). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0326 MOP (High: 3.9457 / Low: 3.9131).

June Spread (Volatile) ±0.2151
April Spread (Stable) ±0.0326

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2015. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 0.1278 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1278

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2015: 4.0342) against the same month in 2014 (average: 4.2923), the exchange rate shifted by -0.2581 (-6.01%).

2015 Avg (January) 4.0342
2014 Avg (January) 4.2923

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 4.0665 4.0024 4.0342
February 4.0357 3.9286 3.9784
March 4.0324 3.9078 3.9692
April 3.9457 3.9131 3.9322
May 3.9694 3.9335 3.9442
June 3.9038 3.6887 3.8200
July 3.7481 3.5909 3.6922
August 3.6038 3.5264 3.5902
September 3.7080 3.5253 3.6226
October 3.6140 3.5570 3.5807
November 3.6180 3.5524 3.5918
December 3.5845 3.4858 3.5530