YEARLY HIGH
3.3665 MOP
YEARLY LOW
3.3102 MOP
YEARLY AVERAGE
3.3476 MOP

2026 TOP to MOP Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2026

During 2026, the TOP to MOP exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 1, valuing the pair at 3.3665. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 25, dropping to 3.3102.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0564 MOP. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 3.3347 to the December average rate of 3.3544, the exchange rate registered a net change of 0.59% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2026 high of 3.3665 was up 0.13% compared to the 2025 peak of 3.3622, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 TOP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 16,833 MOP
2025 Average 16,657 MOP
Yearly Trough Low 16,551 MOP
Transaction Impact: A difference of 281.82 MOP purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2026.

3.3564
3.3327
JanuMarcMayJuly

TOP to MOP Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 3.3465, compared to 3.3544 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0079 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 3.3465
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 3.3544

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2026 was February, with a trading range of 0.0340 MOP (High: 3.3665 / Low: 3.3325). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0019 MOP (High: 3.3528 / Low: 3.3508).

February Spread (Volatile) ±0.0340
May Spread (Stable) ±0.0019

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 6 straight months. No significant month-over-month rate declines were detected.

Longest Streak 6 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0000

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2026: 3.3419) against the same month in 2025 (average: 3.3235), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0184 (+0.55%).

2026 Avg (February) 3.3419
2025 Avg (February) 3.3235

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 3.3408 3.3102 3.3347
February 3.3665 3.3325 3.3419
March 3.3602 3.3274 3.3467
April 3.3642 3.3455 3.3507
May 3.3528 3.3508 3.3518
June 3.3597 3.3501 3.3532
July 3.3608 3.3461 3.3544