YEARLY HIGH
3.6613 MOP
YEARLY LOW
3.4588 MOP
YEARLY AVERAGE
3.5530 MOP

2018 TOP to MOP Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the TOP to MOP exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 5, valuing the pair at 3.6613. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on July 3, dropping to 3.4588.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.2025 MOP. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 3.5837 to the December average rate of 3.5389, the exchange rate registered a net change of -1.25% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 3.6613 was down 0.97% compared to the 2017 peak of 3.6973, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 TOP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 18,307 MOP
2017 Average 17,715 MOP
Yearly Trough Low 17,294 MOP
Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,012.60 MOP purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

3.6542
3.4769
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

TOP to MOP Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 3.5996, compared to 3.5063 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0933 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 3.5996
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 3.5063

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was May, with a trading range of 0.1311 MOP (High: 3.6490 / Low: 3.5179). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0167 MOP (High: 3.5029 / Low: 3.4862).

May Spread (Volatile) ±0.1311
August Spread (Stable) ±0.0167

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between September and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 0.0649 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0649

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2018: 3.6394) against the same month in 2017 (average: 3.5379), the exchange rate shifted by +0.1015 (+2.87%).

2018 Avg (February) 3.6394
2017 Avg (February) 3.5379

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 3.6411 3.5443 3.5837
February 3.6613 3.6096 3.6394
March 3.6526 3.6067 3.6319
April 3.6602 3.5874 3.6351
May 3.6490 3.5179 3.5701
June 3.5608 3.5025 3.5377
July 3.5059 3.4588 3.4917
August 3.5029 3.4862 3.4979
September 3.5029 3.4798 3.4944
October 3.5161 3.4887 3.5016
November 3.5222 3.4932 3.5134
December 3.5736 3.5101 3.5389