YEARLY HIGH
3.6638 MOP
YEARLY LOW
3.4233 MOP
YEARLY AVERAGE
3.5233 MOP

2019 TOP to MOP Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the TOP to MOP exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on April 1, valuing the pair at 3.6638. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on August 25, dropping to 3.4233.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.2405 MOP. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 3.5621 to the December average rate of 3.4944, the exchange rate registered a net change of -1.90% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 3.6638 was up 0.07% compared to the 2018 peak of 3.6613, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 TOP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 18,319 MOP
2018 Average 17,762 MOP
Yearly Trough Low 17,117 MOP
Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,202.57 MOP purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

3.5916
3.4636
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

TOP to MOP Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 3.5549, compared to 3.4918 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0630 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 3.5549
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 3.4918

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was April, with a trading range of 0.1404 MOP (High: 3.6638 / Low: 3.5234). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0310 MOP (High: 3.5853 / Low: 3.5542).

April Spread (Volatile) ±0.1404
March Spread (Stable) ±0.0310

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between October and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 0.0426 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0426

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (April 2019: 3.5617) against the same month in 2018 (average: 3.6351), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0734 (-2.02%).

2019 Avg (April) 3.5617
2018 Avg (April) 3.6351

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 3.6065 3.5223 3.5621
February 3.6006 3.5589 3.5809
March 3.5853 3.5542 3.5728
April 3.6638 3.5234 3.5617
May 3.5497 3.5093 3.5281
June 3.5439 3.4991 3.5236
July 3.5535 3.5164 3.5322
August 3.5082 3.4233 3.4896
September 3.5171 3.4538 3.4810
October 3.4921 3.4490 3.4742
November 3.5130 3.4718 3.4795
December 3.5215 3.4661 3.4944