YEARLY HIGH
3.5277 MOP
YEARLY LOW
3.3345 MOP
YEARLY AVERAGE
3.4131 MOP

2023 TOP to MOP Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2023

During 2023, the TOP to MOP exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 5, valuing the pair at 3.5277. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on October 29, dropping to 3.3345.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1933 MOP. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 3.4576 to the December average rate of 3.4272, the exchange rate registered a net change of -0.88% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2023 high of 3.5277 was down 1.98% compared to the 2022 peak of 3.5989, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 TOP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 17,639 MOP
2022 Average 17,310 MOP
Yearly Trough Low 16,672 MOP
Transaction Impact: A difference of 966.30 MOP purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2023.

3.4684
3.3503
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

TOP to MOP Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 3.4356, compared to 3.3906 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0450 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 3.4356
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 3.3906

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2023 was February, with a trading range of 0.1053 MOP (High: 3.5277 / Low: 3.4225). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0322 MOP (High: 3.3898 / Low: 3.3577).

February Spread (Volatile) ±0.1053
September Spread (Stable) ±0.0322

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between October and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 0.0363 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0363

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2023: 3.4586) against the same month in 2022 (average: 3.5428), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0842 (-2.38%).

2023 Avg (February) 3.4586
2022 Avg (February) 3.5428

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 3.4929 3.4159 3.4576
February 3.5277 3.4225 3.4586
March 3.4437 3.3781 3.4228
April 3.4566 3.3762 3.4323
May 3.4507 3.3872 3.4214
June 3.4488 3.3863 3.4209
July 3.4596 3.3853 3.4252
August 3.4169 3.3654 3.3889
September 3.3898 3.3577 3.3722
October 3.3832 3.3345 3.3601
November 3.4116 3.3383 3.3698
December 3.4688 3.4016 3.4272