YEARLY HIGH
3.3622 MOP
YEARLY LOW
3.2542 MOP
YEARLY AVERAGE
3.3313 MOP

2025 TOP to MOP Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2025

During 2025, the TOP to MOP exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on August 7, valuing the pair at 3.3622. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 3, dropping to 3.2542.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1081 MOP. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 3.3011 to the December average rate of 3.3285, the exchange rate registered a net change of 0.83% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2025 high of 3.3622 was down 2.89% compared to the 2024 peak of 3.4622, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 TOP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 16,811 MOP
2024 Average 16,962 MOP
Yearly Trough Low 16,271 MOP
Transaction Impact: A difference of 540.26 MOP purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2025.

3.3629
3.2955
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

TOP to MOP Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 3.3275, compared to 3.3351 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0077 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 3.3275
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 3.3351

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2025 was February, with a trading range of 0.0944 MOP (High: 3.3485 / Low: 3.2542). On the other end, June was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0074 MOP (High: 3.3604 / Low: 3.3531).

February Spread (Volatile) ±0.0944
June Spread (Stable) ±0.0074

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 0.0158 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0158

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (August 2025: 3.3450) against the same month in 2024 (average: 3.3946), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0495 (-1.46%).

2025 Avg (August) 3.3450
2024 Avg (August) 3.3946

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 3.3471 3.2700 3.3011
February 3.3485 3.2542 3.3235
March 3.3341 3.2925 3.3236
April 3.3306 3.3071 3.3202
May 3.3552 3.3250 3.3393
June 3.3604 3.3531 3.3571
July 3.3613 3.3522 3.3573
August 3.3622 3.3063 3.3450
September 3.3396 3.3164 3.3292
October 3.3337 3.3142 3.3257
November 3.3313 3.3152 3.3251
December 3.3325 3.3244 3.3285