YEARLY HIGH
36.3584 RUB
YEARLY LOW
25.9836 RUB
YEARLY AVERAGE
29.7578 RUB

2016 TOP to RUB Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the TOP to RUB exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 21, valuing the pair at 36.3584. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 28, dropping to 25.9836.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 10.3748 RUB. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 33.9349 to the December average rate of 27.2456, the exchange rate registered a net change of -19.71% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 36.3584 was up 3.17% compared to the 2015 peak of 35.2418, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 TOP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 181,792 RUB
2015 Average 144,372 RUB
Yearly Trough Low 129,918 RUB
Transaction Impact: A difference of 51,874.20 RUB purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

34.6039
26.5766
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

TOP to RUB Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 31.1689, compared to 28.3468 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 2.8221 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 31.1689
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 28.3468

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was January, with a trading range of 3.6728 RUB (High: 36.3584 / Low: 32.6857). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.7759 RUB (High: 28.4618 / Low: 27.6859).

January Spread (Volatile) ±3.6728
October Spread (Stable) ±0.7759

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2016. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 2.9096 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -2.9096

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2016: 33.9349) against the same month in 2015 (average: 32.3387), the exchange rate shifted by +1.5962 (+4.94%).

2016 Avg (January) 33.9349
2015 Avg (January) 32.3387

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 36.3584 32.6857 33.9349
February 35.4815 33.0483 33.9233
March 32.4820 30.0606 31.0137
April 30.6930 29.0648 29.8757
May 29.8940 28.7844 29.2768
June 29.5203 28.2649 28.9890
July 29.1753 27.9292 28.4116
August 29.7156 28.2037 28.7248
September 29.2727 27.9591 28.6763
October 28.4618 27.6859 28.1826
November 29.5926 28.0371 28.8398
December 28.5456 25.9836 27.2456