YEARLY HIGH
42.2702 RUB
YEARLY LOW
28.3892 RUB
YEARLY AVERAGE
36.1490 RUB

2023 TOP to RUB Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2023

During 2023, the TOP to RUB exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on October 6, valuing the pair at 42.2702. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 15, dropping to 28.3892.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 13.8810 RUB. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 30.0335 to the December average rate of 38.7514, the exchange rate registered a net change of 29.03% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2023 high of 42.2702 was down 32.85% compared to the 2022 peak of 62.9483, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 TOP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 211,351 RUB
2022 Average 150,479 RUB
Yearly Trough Low 141,946 RUB
Transaction Impact: A difference of 69,405.00 RUB purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2023.

41.5344
28.9879
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

TOP to RUB Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 32.8676, compared to 39.4304 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 6.5627 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 32.8676
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 39.4304

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2023 was October, with a trading range of 3.6574 RUB (High: 42.2702 / Low: 38.6128). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 1.3115 RUB (High: 32.9808 / Low: 31.6693).

October Spread (Volatile) ±3.6574
March Spread (Stable) ±1.3115

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and October, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 2.4875 points.

Longest Streak 5 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -2.4875

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (October 2023: 40.4888) against the same month in 2022 (average: 25.4051), the exchange rate shifted by +15.0837 (+59.37%).

2023 Avg (October) 40.4888
2022 Avg (October) 25.4051

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 31.4787 28.3892 30.0335
February 32.3084 30.1974 31.4556
March 32.9808 31.6693 32.3709
April 34.8544 32.9808 34.4187
May 34.2203 32.5129 33.5551
June 37.4951 33.9293 35.3720
July 39.2224 37.1254 38.5890
August 42.1496 39.1315 40.2969
September 41.1147 39.6403 40.4547
October 42.2702 38.6128 40.4888
November 38.8234 37.1858 38.0013
December 39.7187 37.9262 38.7514