YEARLY HIGH
30.3901 RUB
YEARLY LOW
26.9518 RUB
YEARLY AVERAGE
28.2502 RUB

2019 TOP to RUB Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the TOP to RUB exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 2, valuing the pair at 30.3901. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 25, dropping to 26.9518.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 3.4384 RUB. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 29.4251 to the December average rate of 27.3292, the exchange rate registered a net change of -7.12% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 30.3901 was down 0.80% compared to the 2018 peak of 30.6345, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 TOP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 151,951 RUB
2018 Average 138,106 RUB
Yearly Trough Low 134,759 RUB
Transaction Impact: A difference of 17,191.83 RUB purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

29.6347
27.1196
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

TOP to RUB Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 28.7018, compared to 27.7986 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.9032 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 28.7018
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 27.7986

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was April, with a trading range of 1.7649 RUB (High: 29.5651 / Low: 27.8002). On the other end, November was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.4110 RUB (High: 27.8237 / Low: 27.4127).

April Spread (Volatile) ±1.7649
November Spread (Stable) ±0.4110

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2019. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 0.4793 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.4793

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2019: 29.4251) against the same month in 2018 (average: 25.2164), the exchange rate shifted by +4.2088 (+16.69%).

2019 Avg (January) 29.4251
2018 Avg (January) 25.2164

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 30.3901 28.8406 29.4251
February 29.4448 28.8773 29.1377
March 29.2571 28.2499 28.8370
April 29.5651 27.8002 28.4572
May 28.6680 28.0000 28.3315
June 28.5938 27.3429 28.0223
July 28.0305 27.5253 27.7631
August 28.9570 27.9961 28.4814
September 28.6954 27.3993 28.0021
October 28.0103 27.3969 27.6598
November 27.8237 27.4127 27.5561
December 27.7412 26.9518 27.3292