2018 TOP to RUB Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

30.6345 RUB

YEARLY LOW

24.9220 RUB

YEARLY AVERAGE

27.6125 RUB

2018 TOP to RUB Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the TOP to RUB exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 27, valuing the pair at 30.6345. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 25, dropping to 24.9220.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 5.7125 RUB. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 25.2164 to the December average rate of 29.6891, the exchange rate registered a net change of 17.74% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 30.6345 was up 11.31% compared to the 2017 peak of 27.5215, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 TOP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 153,172 RUB

2017 Average 128,742 RUB

Yearly Trough Low 124,610 RUB

Transaction Impact: A difference of 28,562.36 RUB purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

30.1364

24.7691

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

TOP to RUB Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 26.4869, compared to 28.7381 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 2.2512 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 26.4869

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 28.7381

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was April, with a trading range of 2.6866 RUB (High: 28.3074 / Low: 25.6208). On the other end, January was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.5355 RUB (High: 25.4575 / Low: 24.9220).

April Spread (Volatile) ±2.6866

January Spread (Stable) ±0.5355

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between September and October, when the average rate fell by 0.6799 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.6799

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2018: 29.6891) against the same month in 2017 (average: 25.5980), the exchange rate shifted by +4.0911 (+15.98%).

2018 Avg (December) 29.6891

2017 Avg (December) 25.5980

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	25.4575	24.9220	25.2164
February	26.3084	25.1096	25.6839
March	26.1287	25.4531	25.6962
April	28.3074	25.6208	27.3291
May	28.6445	26.7218	27.5254
June	27.9013	27.0790	27.4703
July	27.5515	26.7138	27.1503
August	29.5327	27.2569	28.7494
September	30.5475	28.3791	29.2584
October	29.0378	28.1196	28.5785
November	29.6175	28.5168	29.0029
December	30.6345	28.9705	29.6891