2014 TRY to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1257.9189 UGX

YEARLY LOW

1060.9163 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

1187.7553 UGX

2014 TRY to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2014

During 2014, the TRY to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on July 13, valuing the pair at 1257.9189. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 25, dropping to 1060.9163.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 197.0026 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1127.6883 to the December average rate of 1205.4324, the exchange rate registered a net change of 6.89% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2014 high of 1257.9189 was down 17.66% compared to the 2013 peak of 1527.6767, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 50,000 TRY based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 62,895,945 UGX

2013 Average 68,118,214 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 53,045,813 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 9,850,131.90 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2014.

1254.1289

1105.1240

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

TRY to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1167.3802, compared to 1208.1304 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 40.7502 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1167.3802

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1208.1304

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2014 was January, with a trading range of 115.5886 UGX (High: 1176.5049 / Low: 1060.9163). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 23.0131 UGX (High: 1220.1496 / Low: 1197.1365).

January Spread (Volatile) ±115.5886

May Spread (Stable) ±23.0131

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 32.7256 points.

Longest Streak 5 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -32.7256

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (July 2014: 1241.7118) against the same month in 2013 (average: 1338.4574), the exchange rate shifted by -96.7455 (-7.23%).

2014 Avg (July) 1241.7118

2013 Avg (July) 1338.4574

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	1176.5049	1060.9163	1127.6883
February	1142.7998	1086.4048	1117.5411
March	1186.1023	1124.6282	1144.3719
April	1214.9042	1170.6197	1188.6831
May	1220.1496	1197.1365	1209.7585
June	1232.7157	1201.1694	1216.2382
July	1257.9189	1217.7080	1241.7118
August	1226.3366	1190.2221	1208.9862
September	1210.9407	1164.3097	1183.0434
October	1229.5571	1153.3957	1185.9792
November	1252.1005	1192.1936	1223.6294
December	1251.3379	1180.1082	1205.4324